Southern · 2026 season

Mercer

#28Proj #27144-15L1

Form

last 10

Rank

#28

RPI

0.5728

SOS

#121

Home

29-2

Road/Neut

15-13

Last 10

8-2

Where they stand

Mercer is a comfortable at-large lock.

In field100%National seed#28

Auto-bid path

Lost the auto-bid. The Citadel took the Southern bid — path is now RPI-only.

Path to Omaha

Round survival (approx.)

Regional advance53%
Reach Omaha28%
Pool play out14%
Win it all3%

Strength-weighted attrition model. A 2,000-run bracket Monte Carlo replaces these numbers in place when it ships.

Bracket journey· 1 day on file

Daily snapshots haven't accumulated yet.

The trend lights up after a few days of cron-captured projections.

Since NCAA's last refresh

Predicted to move ▲ 1 when NCAA refreshes

#28 → #27

Through May 24

Why ▲ 1?

Mercer hasn't played since the refresh. Past opponents went 1-1. #18 Oregon State's loss was the biggest single move (-0.0009 to WP2); net opponent activity shifted WP2 by -0.0007. Coastal Carolina (NCAA #27) slipped further, putting Mercer at #27.