Sun Belt · 2026 season

Coastal Carolina

#27Proj #28137-21L1

Form

last 10

Rank

#27

RPI

0.5705

SOS

#28

Home

22-11

Road/Neut

15-10

Last 10

4-6

Where they stand

Coastal Carolina is a comfortable at-large lock.

In field100%National seed#27

Auto-bid path

Lost the auto-bid. Southern Miss took the Sun Belt bid — path is now RPI-only.

Path to Omaha

Round survival (approx.)

Regional advance54%
Reach Omaha29%
Pool play out14%
Win it all3%

Strength-weighted attrition model. A 2,000-run bracket Monte Carlo replaces these numbers in place when it ships.

Bracket journey· 1 day on file

Daily snapshots haven't accumulated yet.

The trend lights up after a few days of cron-captured projections.

Since NCAA's last refresh

Predicted to slip ▼ 1 when NCAA refreshes

#27 → #28

Through May 24

Why ▼ 1?

Coastal Carolina hasn't played since the refresh. Past opponents went 2-1. #20 Wake Forest's loss was the biggest single move (-0.0009 to WP2); net opponent activity shifted WP2 by -0.0002. Mercer takes #27, dropping Coastal Carolina to #28.