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Missouri State5

Jacksonville State13

Northern Illinois0

Coastal Carolina1

North Carolina State3

Saint Mary's College3

North Carolina8

South Dakota State1

Mississippi State10

West Virginia10

South Carolina Upstate8

Washington State3

South Carolina Upstate8

Oklahoma State5

Boston College3

Tarleton State11

UC Santa Barbara5

Backward solver

What does Texas A&M need?

In the cutHost a regional (top 16)

Texas A&M is currently in line to host. Every result still moves the math.

Realistic window

#11 – #12

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#8

RPI 0.6053

If Texas A&M wins all 2 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#12

RPI 0.6019

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#12

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #11 – P95 #12). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#18

RPI 0.5920

If Texas A&M is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Inside the cut

Texas A&M is in line to host at #16. See below for the games that could swing it.

Where it shifts most

2 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
NSat, May 30	College Station Regional W R2Winner of NCAA-R12-2026-W2	#9	#14

Try another

Switch teams

Top 25

Backward solver

What does Texas A&M need?

In the cutHost a regional (top 16)

Texas A&M is currently in line to host. Every result still moves the math.

Realistic window

#11 – #12

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#8

RPI 0.6053

If Texas A&M wins all 2 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#12

RPI 0.6019

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#12

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #11 – P95 #12). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#18

RPI 0.5920

If Texas A&M is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Inside the cut

Texas A&M is in line to host at #16. See below for the games that could swing it.

Where it shifts most

2 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
NSat, May 30	College Station Regional W R2Winner of NCAA-R12-2026-W2	#9	#14

Try another

Switch teams

Top 25