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Cincinnati at Houston · Diamondwire
Cincinnati 1 0 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Houston favored Cincinnati 1–0 Houston 1–1 Cincinnati 3–1 ▲ 1st· Cincinnati batting
· Smith,Jackson singled to short (1-2 FFB). · Tyranski,Ryan reached on a fielder's choice hit to the pitcher's mound (2-2 FBBS); Smith,Jackson out at second base, p to ss. · Coats,Quinton walked (3-1 BBFBB); Tyranski,Ryan advanced to second base. · Pitts,Derrick sacrifice bunt, error throwing by p by Roman,Richie (E1) hit in the infield (0-0); Tyranski,Ryan scored from second base on play and error, unearned; Coats,Quinton advanced from first base to third base on play and error.+1 R Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Sunday, May 3, 2026
Venue at Houston Cincinnati 1 0 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Houston favored Cincinnati 1–0 Houston 1–1 Cincinnati 3–1 ▲ 1st· Cincinnati batting
· Smith,Jackson singled to short (1-2 FFB). · Tyranski,Ryan reached on a fielder's choice hit to the pitcher's mound (2-2 FBBS); Smith,Jackson out at second base, p to ss. · Coats,Quinton walked (3-1 BBFBB); Tyranski,Ryan advanced to second base. · Pitts,Derrick sacrifice bunt, error throwing by p by Roman,Richie (E1) hit in the infield (0-0); Tyranski,Ryan scored from second base on play and error, unearned; Coats,Quinton advanced from first base to third base on play and error.+1 R Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Sunday, May 3, 2026
Venue at Houston Houston 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 5 1
Cincinnati favored
Houston
3–3
Cincinnati 4–3
· Pitts,Derrick stole second base.
· Natili,Jack walked (3-2 SBFBBFB).
· Mound visit (HOU)
· Infelise,Enzo popped up in first base side foul territory putout by 1b (0-0).
· Niehaus,Charlie flied out to cf (2-0 BB). ▼ 1st· Houston batting
· Cox,Tyler grounded out to first base, 1b to p (0-2 KK). · Climie,Cade fouled out in first base side foul territory putout by rf (0-1 K). · Fields,Blake struck out swinging (2-2 BKFBS). 1-0 28% ▲ 2nd· Cincinnati batting
· Mitchelle,Christian flied out to right center putout by rf (0-2 FK). 1-0 28% · Daniel,Conlan walked (3-2 BKBFFBB). 1-0 28% · Smith,Jackson reached on a fielder's choice hit to second base (1-0 B); Daniel,Conlan out at second base, 2b to ss. 1-0 28% · Tyranski,Ryan popped up to second base (3-1 KBBB). 0-0 31% ▼ 2nd· Houston batting
· Perez,Xavier struck out swinging (0-2 SSS). 0-0 31% · Savattere,Antonelli flied out to left center putout by lf (0-0). 0-0 31% · Sabathia,Carsten grounded out to short, ss to 1b (3-2 KBSBB). 0-0 31% ▲ 3rd· Cincinnati batting
· Coats,Quinton singled through the left side of the infield (0-0). 0-0 33% · Pitts,Derrick singled through the left side of the infield (1-2 FFB); Coats,Quinton advanced to second base. 0-0 33% · Natili,Jack singled up the middle (1-1 FB); Coats,Quinton advanced to third base; Pitts,Derrick advanced to second base. 0-0 33% · Infelise,Enzo struck out looking (0-2 KSK). 0-0 33% · Niehaus,Charlie struck out swinging (1-2 KBSS). 0-0 33% · Mitchelle,Christian flied out to deep center field putout by cf (2-2 BFBK). 0-0 33% ▼ 3rd· Houston batting
· LaLima,Jackson flied out to lf (0-1 K). 0-0 33% · Kimble,Caleb struck out swinging (0-2 KSS). 0-0 33% · Jackson,Riley singled to shallow left field (2-2 FSBB). 0-0 33% · Cox,Tyler walked (3-1 SBBBB); Jackson,Riley advanced to second base. 0-0 33% · Climie,Cade struck out swinging (0-2 KSS). 0-0 33% ▲ 4th· Cincinnati batting
· HOU pitching change: Rodriguez,Ryne replaces Roman,Richie. 0-0 36% · Daniel,Conlan singled in the infield, bunt (0-0). 0-0 36% · Smith,Jackson grounded out to second base, 2b to 1b (2-0 BB); Daniel,Conlan advanced to second base. 0-0 36% · Tyranski,Ryan grounded out to first base, unassisted (3-2 KBBKBF); Daniel,Conlan advanced to third base. 0-0 36% · Coats,Quinton flied out to rf (0-2 SF). 0-0 36% ▼ 4th· Houston batting
· Fields,Blake flied out to rf (1-2 KKB). 0-0 36% · Perez,Xavier doubled to right center (1-2 KSB). 0-0 36% · Savattere,Antonelli lined out to second base (1-1 BF). 0-0 36% · Sabathia,Carsten walked (3-2 BKKBBFFFB). 0-0 36% · LaLima,Jackson grounded out to the infield, p to 1b (2-2 KBSB). 0-0 36% ▲ 5th· Cincinnati batting
· Pitts,Derrick flied out to rf (0-0). 0-0 39% · Natili,Jack walked (3-1 BFBBB). 0-0 39% · Infelise,Enzo struck out swinging (1-2 KKBS). 0-0 39% · Natili,Jack stole second base. 0-0 39% · Niehaus,Charlie singled in the infield, bunt (1-1 BF); Natili,Jack advanced to third base. 0-0 39% · Mitchelle,Christian hit by pitch (1-0 BB); Niehaus,Charlie advanced to second base. 0-0 39% · Daniel,Conlan struck out looking (3-2 KKBFBBFFK). 0-0 39% ▼ 5th· Houston batting
· Kimble,Caleb struck out looking (1-2 KBFFK). 0-0 39% · UC pitching change: Mauro,Dominic replaces Knight,Logan. 0-0 39% · Jackson,Riley struck out swinging (0-2 SKS). 0-0 39% · Cox,Tyler flied out to right center putout by rf (1-1 BF). 0-0 39% ▲ 6th· Cincinnati batting
· Smith,Jackson grounded out to second base, 2b to 1b (2-2 BKKB). 0-0 42% · Tyranski,Ryan grounded out to first base, 1b to p (0-2 SS). 0-0 42% · Coats,Quinton struck out looking (3-2 KBFFBBK). 0-0 42% ▼ 6th· Houston batting
· Climie,Cade doubled down the left field line (0-1 K). 0-0 42% · Fields,Blake grounded out to short, ss to 1b (1-1 BK). 0-0 42% · Perez,Xavier struck out swinging (2-2 BSFBS). 0-0 42% · Savattere,Antonelli singled to shallow right field, RBI (3-2 FBBBF); Climie,Cade scored from second base.+1 R 0-0 42% · Sabathia,Carsten struck out looking (2-2 FBBFK). 0-1 54% ▲ 7th· Cincinnati batting
· HOU pitching change: Udland,Connor replaces Rodriguez,Ryne. 0-1 60% · Pitts,Derrick flied out to shallow center field putout by rf (2-2 KKFBFB). 0-1 60% · Natili,Jack struck out swinging (2-2 KBFBFS). 0-1 60% · Infelise,Enzo grounded out to short, ss to 1b (0-0). 0-1 60% ▼ 7th· Houston batting
· LaLima,Jackson grounded out to third base, 3b to 1b (1-2 KBK). 0-1 60% · HOU substitution: Helton,McClane pinch hitting for Kimble,Caleb. 0-1 60% · Helton,McClane struck out looking (1-2 KSBK). 0-1 60% · Jackson,Riley grounded out to short, ss to 1b (1-2 SBFFFF). 0-0 44% ▲ 8th· Cincinnati batting
· HOU substitution: Weems,Irvin replaces Helton,McClane at lf, batting 8th. 0-0 47% · Niehaus,Charlie struck out looking (2-2 SKBFBK). 0-0 47% · Mitchelle,Christian struck out looking (1-2 KBKK). 0-0 47% · Daniel,Conlan struck out swinging (1-2 KBSFFS). 0-0 47% ▼ 8th· Houston batting
· UC pitching change: Buczkowski,Adam replaces Mauro,Dominic. 0-0 47% · Cox,Tyler struck out looking on dropped third strike, out at first c to 1b (2-2 BBKKK). 0-0 47% · Climie,Cade flied out down the right field line putout by rf (0-2 SS). 0-0 47% · Fields,Blake walked (3-0 BBBB). 0-0 47% · Perez,Xavier struck out swinging (0-2 KKFFS). 0-0 47% ▲ 9th· Cincinnati batting
· Smith,Jackson walked (3-2 BFFBBB). 0-0 50% · Offensive timeout (UC) 0-0 50% · Tyranski,Ryan struck out swinging (3-2 FFBBBS). 0-0 50% · Coats,Quinton flied out to shallow center field putout by cf (1-2 KBFF). 0-0 50% · Pitts,Derrick homered to deep left field, 2RBI (1-1 KB); Smith,Jackson scored from first base.+2 R 0-0 50% · Natili,Jack walked (3-1 BKBBB). 0-0 50% · HOU pitching change: Boushele,Harrison replaces Udland,Connor. 0-0 50% · Infelise,Enzo popped up to the infield putout by 1b (1-2 KBF). 2-0 15% ▼ 9th· Houston batting
· Savattere,Antonelli walked (3-0 BBBB). 2-0 19% · Sabathia,Carsten singled to shallow right field (0-1 K); Savattere,Antonelli advanced to second base. 2-0 19% · HOU substitution: Dickens,Peyton pinch running for Sabathia,Carsten. 2-0 19% · Dickens,Peyton advanced to second base on a wild pitch; Savattere,Antonelli advanced to third base on a wild pitch. 2-0 19% · LaLima,Jackson popped up in first base side foul territory putout by 1b (1-1 BF). 2-0 19% · Offensive timeout (HOU) 2-0 19% · Weems,Irvin sacrifice bunt, p to 1b, 2RBI (0-0); Savattere,Antonelli scored; Dickens,Peyton scored from second base on the throw.+2 R 2-0 19% · Jackson,Riley walked (3-2 BBKFFBFB). 2-0 19% · HOU substitution: VanWie,Will pinch running for Jackson,Riley. 2-0 19% · VanWie,Will out caught stealing at second base, c to 2b. 2-2 50% ▲ 10th· Cincinnati batting
· HOU position change: Dickens,Peyton remains in the game at dh 2-2 50% · HOU substitution: Maxcey,Dylan replaces VanWie,Will at c, batting 9th. 2-2 50% · Niehaus,Charlie flied out to cf (3-2 BSFBB). 2-2 50% · Mitchelle,Christian walked (3-2 BBFBFB). 2-2 50% · Daniel,Conlan struck out looking (1-2 BKSK). 2-2 50% · Smith,Jackson flied out to left center putout by cf (2-0 BB). 0-2 85% ▼ 10th· Houston batting
· UC pitching change: Brown,Chad replaces Buczkowski,Adam. 0-2 85% · Cox,Tyler grounded out to second base, 2b to 1b (1-2 KFB). 0-2 85% · Climie,Cade walked (3-0 BBBB). 0-2 85% · Fields,Blake flied out to rf (2-2 BFFB). 0-2 85% · Perez,Xavier walked (3-2 BSBBFN); Climie,Cade advanced to second base. 0-2 85% · Mound visit (UC) 0-2 85% · Savattere,Antonelli flied out to shallow left field putout by lf (3-2 BFBFFB). 0-0 50% ▲ 11th· Cincinnati batting
· Tyranski,Ryan walked (3-2 KBFBFBFB). 0-0 50% · Tyranski,Ryan advanced to second base on a passed ball. 0-0 50% · Coats,Quinton walked (3-2 KFBBBB). 0-0 50% · HOU pitching change: Solis,Alex replaces Boushele,Harrison. 0-0 50% · Mound visit (HOU) 0-0 50% · Pitts,Derrick doubled, RBI (0-0); Tyranski,Ryan scored from second base; Coats,Quinton advanced from first base to third base.+1 R 0-0 50% · Natili,Jack struck out looking (3-2 SSBBFBK). 0-0 50% · Infelise,Enzo popped up to the infield putout by ss (0-0). 0-0 50% · Offensive timeout (UC) 0-0 50% · Niehaus,Charlie struck out swinging (1-2 SFBS). 1-0 30% ▼ 11th· Houston batting
· Dickens,Peyton struck out looking (0-2 KKFK). 1-0 34% · LaLima,Jackson popped up in first base side foul territory putout by 1b (1-0 B). 1-0 34% · HOU substitution: Winfield,Easton pinch hitting for Weems,Irvin. 1-0 34% · Winfield,Easton walked (3-1 KBBBB). 1-0 34% · Maxcey,Dylan struck out swinging (1-2 KBFS). 1-0 34% Houston 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 5 1
Cincinnati favored
Houston
3–3
Cincinnati 4–3
· Pitts,Derrick stole second base.
· Natili,Jack walked (3-2 SBFBBFB).
· Mound visit (HOU)
· Infelise,Enzo popped up in first base side foul territory putout by 1b (0-0).
· Niehaus,Charlie flied out to cf (2-0 BB). ▼ 1st· Houston batting
· Cox,Tyler grounded out to first base, 1b to p (0-2 KK). · Climie,Cade fouled out in first base side foul territory putout by rf (0-1 K). · Fields,Blake struck out swinging (2-2 BKFBS). 1-0 28% ▲ 2nd· Cincinnati batting
· Mitchelle,Christian flied out to right center putout by rf (0-2 FK). 1-0 28% · Daniel,Conlan walked (3-2 BKBFFBB). 1-0 28% · Smith,Jackson reached on a fielder's choice hit to second base (1-0 B); Daniel,Conlan out at second base, 2b to ss. 1-0 28% · Tyranski,Ryan popped up to second base (3-1 KBBB). 0-0 31% ▼ 2nd· Houston batting
· Perez,Xavier struck out swinging (0-2 SSS). 0-0 31% · Savattere,Antonelli flied out to left center putout by lf (0-0). 0-0 31% · Sabathia,Carsten grounded out to short, ss to 1b (3-2 KBSBB). 0-0 31% ▲ 3rd· Cincinnati batting
· Coats,Quinton singled through the left side of the infield (0-0). 0-0 33% · Pitts,Derrick singled through the left side of the infield (1-2 FFB); Coats,Quinton advanced to second base. 0-0 33% · Natili,Jack singled up the middle (1-1 FB); Coats,Quinton advanced to third base; Pitts,Derrick advanced to second base. 0-0 33% · Infelise,Enzo struck out looking (0-2 KSK). 0-0 33% · Niehaus,Charlie struck out swinging (1-2 KBSS). 0-0 33% · Mitchelle,Christian flied out to deep center field putout by cf (2-2 BFBK). 0-0 33% ▼ 3rd· Houston batting
· LaLima,Jackson flied out to lf (0-1 K). 0-0 33% · Kimble,Caleb struck out swinging (0-2 KSS). 0-0 33% · Jackson,Riley singled to shallow left field (2-2 FSBB). 0-0 33% · Cox,Tyler walked (3-1 SBBBB); Jackson,Riley advanced to second base. 0-0 33% · Climie,Cade struck out swinging (0-2 KSS). 0-0 33% ▲ 4th· Cincinnati batting
· HOU pitching change: Rodriguez,Ryne replaces Roman,Richie. 0-0 36% · Daniel,Conlan singled in the infield, bunt (0-0). 0-0 36% · Smith,Jackson grounded out to second base, 2b to 1b (2-0 BB); Daniel,Conlan advanced to second base. 0-0 36% · Tyranski,Ryan grounded out to first base, unassisted (3-2 KBBKBF); Daniel,Conlan advanced to third base. 0-0 36% · Coats,Quinton flied out to rf (0-2 SF). 0-0 36% ▼ 4th· Houston batting
· Fields,Blake flied out to rf (1-2 KKB). 0-0 36% · Perez,Xavier doubled to right center (1-2 KSB). 0-0 36% · Savattere,Antonelli lined out to second base (1-1 BF). 0-0 36% · Sabathia,Carsten walked (3-2 BKKBBFFFB). 0-0 36% · LaLima,Jackson grounded out to the infield, p to 1b (2-2 KBSB). 0-0 36% ▲ 5th· Cincinnati batting
· Pitts,Derrick flied out to rf (0-0). 0-0 39% · Natili,Jack walked (3-1 BFBBB). 0-0 39% · Infelise,Enzo struck out swinging (1-2 KKBS). 0-0 39% · Natili,Jack stole second base. 0-0 39% · Niehaus,Charlie singled in the infield, bunt (1-1 BF); Natili,Jack advanced to third base. 0-0 39% · Mitchelle,Christian hit by pitch (1-0 BB); Niehaus,Charlie advanced to second base. 0-0 39% · Daniel,Conlan struck out looking (3-2 KKBFBBFFK). 0-0 39% ▼ 5th· Houston batting
· Kimble,Caleb struck out looking (1-2 KBFFK). 0-0 39% · UC pitching change: Mauro,Dominic replaces Knight,Logan. 0-0 39% · Jackson,Riley struck out swinging (0-2 SKS). 0-0 39% · Cox,Tyler flied out to right center putout by rf (1-1 BF). 0-0 39% ▲ 6th· Cincinnati batting
· Smith,Jackson grounded out to second base, 2b to 1b (2-2 BKKB). 0-0 42% · Tyranski,Ryan grounded out to first base, 1b to p (0-2 SS). 0-0 42% · Coats,Quinton struck out looking (3-2 KBFFBBK). 0-0 42% ▼ 6th· Houston batting
· Climie,Cade doubled down the left field line (0-1 K). 0-0 42% · Fields,Blake grounded out to short, ss to 1b (1-1 BK). 0-0 42% · Perez,Xavier struck out swinging (2-2 BSFBS). 0-0 42% · Savattere,Antonelli singled to shallow right field, RBI (3-2 FBBBF); Climie,Cade scored from second base.+1 R 0-0 42% · Sabathia,Carsten struck out looking (2-2 FBBFK). 0-1 54% ▲ 7th· Cincinnati batting
· HOU pitching change: Udland,Connor replaces Rodriguez,Ryne. 0-1 60% · Pitts,Derrick flied out to shallow center field putout by rf (2-2 KKFBFB). 0-1 60% · Natili,Jack struck out swinging (2-2 KBFBFS). 0-1 60% · Infelise,Enzo grounded out to short, ss to 1b (0-0). 0-1 60% ▼ 7th· Houston batting
· LaLima,Jackson grounded out to third base, 3b to 1b (1-2 KBK). 0-1 60% · HOU substitution: Helton,McClane pinch hitting for Kimble,Caleb. 0-1 60% · Helton,McClane struck out looking (1-2 KSBK). 0-1 60% · Jackson,Riley grounded out to short, ss to 1b (1-2 SBFFFF). 0-0 44% ▲ 8th· Cincinnati batting
· HOU substitution: Weems,Irvin replaces Helton,McClane at lf, batting 8th. 0-0 47% · Niehaus,Charlie struck out looking (2-2 SKBFBK). 0-0 47% · Mitchelle,Christian struck out looking (1-2 KBKK). 0-0 47% · Daniel,Conlan struck out swinging (1-2 KBSFFS). 0-0 47% ▼ 8th· Houston batting
· UC pitching change: Buczkowski,Adam replaces Mauro,Dominic. 0-0 47% · Cox,Tyler struck out looking on dropped third strike, out at first c to 1b (2-2 BBKKK). 0-0 47% · Climie,Cade flied out down the right field line putout by rf (0-2 SS). 0-0 47% · Fields,Blake walked (3-0 BBBB). 0-0 47% · Perez,Xavier struck out swinging (0-2 KKFFS). 0-0 47% ▲ 9th· Cincinnati batting
· Smith,Jackson walked (3-2 BFFBBB). 0-0 50% · Offensive timeout (UC) 0-0 50% · Tyranski,Ryan struck out swinging (3-2 FFBBBS). 0-0 50% · Coats,Quinton flied out to shallow center field putout by cf (1-2 KBFF). 0-0 50% · Pitts,Derrick homered to deep left field, 2RBI (1-1 KB); Smith,Jackson scored from first base.+2 R 0-0 50% · Natili,Jack walked (3-1 BKBBB). 0-0 50% · HOU pitching change: Boushele,Harrison replaces Udland,Connor. 0-0 50% · Infelise,Enzo popped up to the infield putout by 1b (1-2 KBF). 2-0 15% ▼ 9th· Houston batting
· Savattere,Antonelli walked (3-0 BBBB). 2-0 19% · Sabathia,Carsten singled to shallow right field (0-1 K); Savattere,Antonelli advanced to second base. 2-0 19% · HOU substitution: Dickens,Peyton pinch running for Sabathia,Carsten. 2-0 19% · Dickens,Peyton advanced to second base on a wild pitch; Savattere,Antonelli advanced to third base on a wild pitch. 2-0 19% · LaLima,Jackson popped up in first base side foul territory putout by 1b (1-1 BF). 2-0 19% · Offensive timeout (HOU) 2-0 19% · Weems,Irvin sacrifice bunt, p to 1b, 2RBI (0-0); Savattere,Antonelli scored; Dickens,Peyton scored from second base on the throw.+2 R 2-0 19% · Jackson,Riley walked (3-2 BBKFFBFB). 2-0 19% · HOU substitution: VanWie,Will pinch running for Jackson,Riley. 2-0 19% · VanWie,Will out caught stealing at second base, c to 2b. 2-2 50% ▲ 10th· Cincinnati batting
· HOU position change: Dickens,Peyton remains in the game at dh 2-2 50% · HOU substitution: Maxcey,Dylan replaces VanWie,Will at c, batting 9th. 2-2 50% · Niehaus,Charlie flied out to cf (3-2 BSFBB). 2-2 50% · Mitchelle,Christian walked (3-2 BBFBFB). 2-2 50% · Daniel,Conlan struck out looking (1-2 BKSK). 2-2 50% · Smith,Jackson flied out to left center putout by cf (2-0 BB). 0-2 85% ▼ 10th· Houston batting
· UC pitching change: Brown,Chad replaces Buczkowski,Adam. 0-2 85% · Cox,Tyler grounded out to second base, 2b to 1b (1-2 KFB). 0-2 85% · Climie,Cade walked (3-0 BBBB). 0-2 85% · Fields,Blake flied out to rf (2-2 BFFB). 0-2 85% · Perez,Xavier walked (3-2 BSBBFN); Climie,Cade advanced to second base. 0-2 85% · Mound visit (UC) 0-2 85% · Savattere,Antonelli flied out to shallow left field putout by lf (3-2 BFBFFB). 0-0 50% ▲ 11th· Cincinnati batting
· Tyranski,Ryan walked (3-2 KBFBFBFB). 0-0 50% · Tyranski,Ryan advanced to second base on a passed ball. 0-0 50% · Coats,Quinton walked (3-2 KFBBBB). 0-0 50% · HOU pitching change: Solis,Alex replaces Boushele,Harrison. 0-0 50% · Mound visit (HOU) 0-0 50% · Pitts,Derrick doubled, RBI (0-0); Tyranski,Ryan scored from second base; Coats,Quinton advanced from first base to third base.+1 R 0-0 50% · Natili,Jack struck out looking (3-2 SSBBFBK). 0-0 50% · Infelise,Enzo popped up to the infield putout by ss (0-0). 0-0 50% · Offensive timeout (UC) 0-0 50% · Niehaus,Charlie struck out swinging (1-2 SFBS). 1-0 30% ▼ 11th· Houston batting
· Dickens,Peyton struck out looking (0-2 KKFK). 1-0 34% · LaLima,Jackson popped up in first base side foul territory putout by 1b (1-0 B). 1-0 34% · HOU substitution: Winfield,Easton pinch hitting for Weems,Irvin. 1-0 34% · Winfield,Easton walked (3-1 KBBBB). 1-0 34% · Maxcey,Dylan struck out swinging (1-2 KBFS). 1-0 34% 
