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RPI from the NCAA .
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Alabama State at Texas Southern · Diamondwire
Alabama State 0 0 2 1 0 1 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Texas Southern favored Alabama State favored Alabama State 2–0 Texas Southern 2–1 Alabama State 3–1 ▲ 1st· Alabama State batting
· Devin Chandler flied out to cf (2-2 BFKB). 0-0 28% · Breydon Divine grounded out to 3b (1-0 B). 0-0 28% · Miguel Oropeza singled to third base, advanced to second on an error by 3b (0-0). 0-0 28% · Niguel Jenkins struck out swinging (2-2 BBFSS). 0-0 28%
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Sunday, May 3, 2026
Venue at Texas Southern Alabama State 0 0 2 1 0 1 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Texas Southern favored Alabama State favored Alabama State 2–0 Texas Southern 2–1 Alabama State 3–1 ▲ 1st· Alabama State batting
· Devin Chandler flied out to cf (2-2 BFKB). 0-0 28% · Breydon Divine grounded out to 3b (1-0 B). 0-0 28% · Miguel Oropeza singled to third base, advanced to second on an error by 3b (0-0). 0-0 28% · Niguel Jenkins struck out swinging (2-2 BBFSS). 0-0 28%
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Sunday, May 3, 2026
Venue at Texas Southern Texas Southern 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 8 2
Texas Southern
3–2
Alabama State 4–2 Texas Southern 4–3 Alabama State 5–3 Alabama State 6–3 Texas Southern 6–4 ▼ 1st· Texas Southern batting
· Anthony Ruiz flied out to cf (3-1 BBSB). 0-0 28% · Christopher Chavez hit by pitch (0-2 KF). 0-0 28% · Tanner Marek reached on a fielder's choice (1-2 BFF); Christopher Chavez out at second 3b to 2b. 0-0 28% · Tanner Marek Failed pickoff attempt. 0-0 28% · Byron Robinson hit by pitch (2-2 BKKB); Tanner Marek advanced to second. 0-0 28% · Evan Joubert struck out looking (2-2 FFBBK). 0-0 28% ▲ 2nd· Alabama State batting
· Trey Callaway grounded out to ss (2-1 BBF). 0-0 31% · Jackson Williams struck out swinging (2-2 BKBKS). 0-0 31% · Alex Espaillat doubled to right field (2-2 BFKB). 0-0 31% · Cale Clark hit by pitch (2-2 FFBB). 0-0 31% · Fabian Santana flied out to cf (0-0). 0-0 31% ▼ 2nd· Texas Southern batting
· Miguel Morales flied out to cf (0-1 K). 0-0 31% · Elijah Rodriguez singled to shortstop (0-0). 0-0 31% · Nate Lopez grounded into double play 3b to 2b to 1b (0-1 K); Elijah Rodriguez out on the play. 0-0 31% ▲ 3rd· Alabama State batting
· Devin Chandler struck out swinging (1-2 KKFBFS). 0-0 33% · Breydon Divine singled to shortstop (1-2 KKB). 0-0 33% · Miguel Oropeza homered, 2 RBI (0-0); Breydon Divine scored.+2 R 2-0 25% · Niguel Jenkins struck out looking (3-2 BKBBKK). 2-0 25% · Trey Callaway flied out to cf (0-1 F). 2-0 25% ▼ 3rd· Texas Southern batting
· Zachari Pace tripled to center field (0-2 KFF). 2-0 26% · Aden Malpass to cf for Niguel Jenkins. 2-0 26% · Anthony Ruiz grounded out to 3b (1-1 KB). 2-0 26% · Christopher Chavez singled to right field, RBI (0-0); Zachari Pace scored.+1 R 2-1 29% · Tanner Marek popped up to rf (0-0). 2-1 29% · Byron Robinson reached on a fielder's choice (0-1 K); Christopher Chavez advanced to second, out at third ss to 2b to 3b. 2-1 29% ▲ 4th· Alabama State batting
· Jackson Williams homered, RBI (0-0).+1 R 3-1 23% · Alex Espaillat grounded out to p (0-1 S). 3-1 23% · Cale Clark struck out swinging (2-2 KBSBFS). 3-1 23% · Fabian Santana struck out swinging (1-2 FKBFS). 3-1 23% ▼ 4th· Texas Southern batting
· Evan Joubert popped up to 2b (3-2 BSBFFB). 3-1 25% · Miguel Morales flied out to lf (0-1 S). 3-1 25% · Elijah Rodriguez homered, RBI (1-2 KKB).+1 R 3-2 30% · Nate Lopez singled to center field (2-2 SBKB). 3-2 30% · Zachari Pace out at first ss to 2b (2-2 BBSF). 3-2 30% ▲ 5th· Alabama State batting
· Devin Chandler flied out to lf (0-0). 3-2 29% · Breydon Divine singled to center field (0-2 KS). 3-2 29% · Miguel Oropeza struck out swinging (1-2 KBKS). 3-2 29% · Aden Malpass struck out swinging (0-2 KSS). 3-2 29% ▼ 5th· Texas Southern batting
· Anthony Ruiz walked (3-2 BKBKBB). 3-2 31% · Christopher Chavez struck out swinging (1-2 BKFFS). 3-2 31% · Tanner Marek grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b (1-2 KSBF); Anthony Ruiz out on the play. 3-2 31% ▲ 6th· Alabama State batting
· Kevin Braziel to p for Justin Mays. 3-2 29% · Trey Callaway flied out to lf (0-1 K). 3-2 29% · Jackson Williams struck out swinging (3-2 BFSBBS). 3-2 29% · Alex Espaillat reached first on an error by ss (2-0 BB). 3-2 29% · Cale Clark doubled to center field (1-1 BK); Alex Espaillat scored, unearned.+1 R 4-2 20% · Fabian Santana grounded out to ss (0-1 K). 4-2 20% ▼ 6th· Texas Southern batting
· Byron Robinson tripled to left field (1-2 KKB). 4-2 23% · Evan Joubert flied out to cf, SAC, RBI (1-1 BK); Byron Robinson scored.+1 R 4-3 32% · Miguel Morales flied out to cf (3-2 BBKFB). 4-3 32% · Zane Baltz to p for Joe Dolinshek. 4-3 32% · Elijah Rodriguez grounded out to ss (2-2 FBFB). 4-3 32% ▲ 7th· Alabama State batting
· Devin Chandler struck out swinging (2-2 KSBBFFS). 4-3 29% · Breydon Divine grounded out to ss (1-1 KB). 4-3 29% · Miguel Oropeza grounded out to 2b (0-1 K). 4-3 29% ▼ 7th· Texas Southern batting
· Nate Lopez struck out looking (3-2 BKSFBBFK). 4-3 32% · Zachari Pace singled to second base (2-1 BFB). 4-3 32% · Zachari Pace advanced to second on a wild pitch. 4-3 32% · Anthony Ruiz flied out to rf (3-2 BKBFB); Zachari Pace advanced to third. 4-3 32% · Christopher Chavez grounded out to 2b (1-0 B). 4-3 32% ▲ 8th· Alabama State batting
· Skywalker Mann pinch hit for Aden Malpass. 4-3 30% · Skywalker Mann struck out swinging (0-2 SKS). 4-3 30% · Trey Callaway homered, RBI (1-0 B).+1 R 5-3 17% · Jackson Williams walked (3-0 BBBB). 5-3 17% · Alex Espaillat flied out to cf (0-0). 5-3 17% · Cale Clark out at first 2b to ss (1-0 B). 5-3 17% ▼ 8th· Texas Southern batting
· Skywalker Mann to lf for Devin Chandler. 5-3 21% · Devin Chandler to cf for Skywalker Mann. 5-3 21% · Tanner Marek struck out looking (2-2 SBKBFK). 5-3 21% · Byron Robinson walked (3-2 KBSFBBFFB). 5-3 21% · Evan Joubert flied out to rf (0-0). 5-3 21% · Miguel Morales struck out swinging (0-2 KFFS). 5-3 21% ▲ 9th· Alabama State batting
· Demarques Thompson to p for Kevin Braziel. 5-3 15% · Fabian Santana walked (3-2 BBKBFB). 5-3 15% · Skywalker Mann hit by pitch (0-0); Fabian Santana advanced to second. 5-3 15% · Breydon Divine reached on a fielder's choice (0-1 K); Skywalker Mann out on the play; Fabian Santana out at third 3b to 2b. 5-3 15% · Breydon Divine stole second. 5-3 15% · Miguel Oropeza walked (3-2 KKBBBB); Breydon Divine advanced to third on a wild pitch. 5-3 15% · Devin Chandler singled to left field, RBI (1-1 BF); Miguel Oropeza advanced to second; Breydon Divine scored.+1 R 6-3 7% · Trey Callaway flied out to rf (0-1 F). 6-3 7% ▼ 9th· Texas Southern batting
· Elijah Rodriguez walked (3-2 KBBBSFB). 6-3 11% · Caleb Sanders to p for Zane Baltz. 6-3 11% · Nate Lopez struck out swinging (2-2 BKBKS). 6-3 11% · Zachari Pace walked (3-1 BKBBB); Elijah Rodriguez advanced to second. 6-3 11% · Dalton Alford pinch ran for Elijah Rodriguez. 6-3 11% · Anthony Ruiz singled to right field, RBI (0-0); Zachari Pace advanced to second; Dalton Alford scored.+1 R 6-4 19% · Trey Power to p for Caleb Sanders. 6-4 19% · Christopher Chavez grounded into double play 3b to 1b (0-1 F); Zachari Pace out on the play. 6-4 19% Texas Southern 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 8 2
Texas Southern
3–2
Alabama State 4–2 Texas Southern 4–3 Alabama State 5–3 Alabama State 6–3 Texas Southern 6–4 ▼ 1st· Texas Southern batting
· Anthony Ruiz flied out to cf (3-1 BBSB). 0-0 28% · Christopher Chavez hit by pitch (0-2 KF). 0-0 28% · Tanner Marek reached on a fielder's choice (1-2 BFF); Christopher Chavez out at second 3b to 2b. 0-0 28% · Tanner Marek Failed pickoff attempt. 0-0 28% · Byron Robinson hit by pitch (2-2 BKKB); Tanner Marek advanced to second. 0-0 28% · Evan Joubert struck out looking (2-2 FFBBK). 0-0 28% ▲ 2nd· Alabama State batting
· Trey Callaway grounded out to ss (2-1 BBF). 0-0 31% · Jackson Williams struck out swinging (2-2 BKBKS). 0-0 31% · Alex Espaillat doubled to right field (2-2 BFKB). 0-0 31% · Cale Clark hit by pitch (2-2 FFBB). 0-0 31% · Fabian Santana flied out to cf (0-0). 0-0 31% ▼ 2nd· Texas Southern batting
· Miguel Morales flied out to cf (0-1 K). 0-0 31% · Elijah Rodriguez singled to shortstop (0-0). 0-0 31% · Nate Lopez grounded into double play 3b to 2b to 1b (0-1 K); Elijah Rodriguez out on the play. 0-0 31% ▲ 3rd· Alabama State batting
· Devin Chandler struck out swinging (1-2 KKFBFS). 0-0 33% · Breydon Divine singled to shortstop (1-2 KKB). 0-0 33% · Miguel Oropeza homered, 2 RBI (0-0); Breydon Divine scored.+2 R 2-0 25% · Niguel Jenkins struck out looking (3-2 BKBBKK). 2-0 25% · Trey Callaway flied out to cf (0-1 F). 2-0 25% ▼ 3rd· Texas Southern batting
· Zachari Pace tripled to center field (0-2 KFF). 2-0 26% · Aden Malpass to cf for Niguel Jenkins. 2-0 26% · Anthony Ruiz grounded out to 3b (1-1 KB). 2-0 26% · Christopher Chavez singled to right field, RBI (0-0); Zachari Pace scored.+1 R 2-1 29% · Tanner Marek popped up to rf (0-0). 2-1 29% · Byron Robinson reached on a fielder's choice (0-1 K); Christopher Chavez advanced to second, out at third ss to 2b to 3b. 2-1 29% ▲ 4th· Alabama State batting
· Jackson Williams homered, RBI (0-0).+1 R 3-1 23% · Alex Espaillat grounded out to p (0-1 S). 3-1 23% · Cale Clark struck out swinging (2-2 KBSBFS). 3-1 23% · Fabian Santana struck out swinging (1-2 FKBFS). 3-1 23% ▼ 4th· Texas Southern batting
· Evan Joubert popped up to 2b (3-2 BSBFFB). 3-1 25% · Miguel Morales flied out to lf (0-1 S). 3-1 25% · Elijah Rodriguez homered, RBI (1-2 KKB).+1 R 3-2 30% · Nate Lopez singled to center field (2-2 SBKB). 3-2 30% · Zachari Pace out at first ss to 2b (2-2 BBSF). 3-2 30% ▲ 5th· Alabama State batting
· Devin Chandler flied out to lf (0-0). 3-2 29% · Breydon Divine singled to center field (0-2 KS). 3-2 29% · Miguel Oropeza struck out swinging (1-2 KBKS). 3-2 29% · Aden Malpass struck out swinging (0-2 KSS). 3-2 29% ▼ 5th· Texas Southern batting
· Anthony Ruiz walked (3-2 BKBKBB). 3-2 31% · Christopher Chavez struck out swinging (1-2 BKFFS). 3-2 31% · Tanner Marek grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b (1-2 KSBF); Anthony Ruiz out on the play. 3-2 31% ▲ 6th· Alabama State batting
· Kevin Braziel to p for Justin Mays. 3-2 29% · Trey Callaway flied out to lf (0-1 K). 3-2 29% · Jackson Williams struck out swinging (3-2 BFSBBS). 3-2 29% · Alex Espaillat reached first on an error by ss (2-0 BB). 3-2 29% · Cale Clark doubled to center field (1-1 BK); Alex Espaillat scored, unearned.+1 R 4-2 20% · Fabian Santana grounded out to ss (0-1 K). 4-2 20% ▼ 6th· Texas Southern batting
· Byron Robinson tripled to left field (1-2 KKB). 4-2 23% · Evan Joubert flied out to cf, SAC, RBI (1-1 BK); Byron Robinson scored.+1 R 4-3 32% · Miguel Morales flied out to cf (3-2 BBKFB). 4-3 32% · Zane Baltz to p for Joe Dolinshek. 4-3 32% · Elijah Rodriguez grounded out to ss (2-2 FBFB). 4-3 32% ▲ 7th· Alabama State batting
· Devin Chandler struck out swinging (2-2 KSBBFFS). 4-3 29% · Breydon Divine grounded out to ss (1-1 KB). 4-3 29% · Miguel Oropeza grounded out to 2b (0-1 K). 4-3 29% ▼ 7th· Texas Southern batting
· Nate Lopez struck out looking (3-2 BKSFBBFK). 4-3 32% · Zachari Pace singled to second base (2-1 BFB). 4-3 32% · Zachari Pace advanced to second on a wild pitch. 4-3 32% · Anthony Ruiz flied out to rf (3-2 BKBFB); Zachari Pace advanced to third. 4-3 32% · Christopher Chavez grounded out to 2b (1-0 B). 4-3 32% ▲ 8th· Alabama State batting
· Skywalker Mann pinch hit for Aden Malpass. 4-3 30% · Skywalker Mann struck out swinging (0-2 SKS). 4-3 30% · Trey Callaway homered, RBI (1-0 B).+1 R 5-3 17% · Jackson Williams walked (3-0 BBBB). 5-3 17% · Alex Espaillat flied out to cf (0-0). 5-3 17% · Cale Clark out at first 2b to ss (1-0 B). 5-3 17% ▼ 8th· Texas Southern batting
· Skywalker Mann to lf for Devin Chandler. 5-3 21% · Devin Chandler to cf for Skywalker Mann. 5-3 21% · Tanner Marek struck out looking (2-2 SBKBFK). 5-3 21% · Byron Robinson walked (3-2 KBSFBBFFB). 5-3 21% · Evan Joubert flied out to rf (0-0). 5-3 21% · Miguel Morales struck out swinging (0-2 KFFS). 5-3 21% ▲ 9th· Alabama State batting
· Demarques Thompson to p for Kevin Braziel. 5-3 15% · Fabian Santana walked (3-2 BBKBFB). 5-3 15% · Skywalker Mann hit by pitch (0-0); Fabian Santana advanced to second. 5-3 15% · Breydon Divine reached on a fielder's choice (0-1 K); Skywalker Mann out on the play; Fabian Santana out at third 3b to 2b. 5-3 15% · Breydon Divine stole second. 5-3 15% · Miguel Oropeza walked (3-2 KKBBBB); Breydon Divine advanced to third on a wild pitch. 5-3 15% · Devin Chandler singled to left field, RBI (1-1 BF); Miguel Oropeza advanced to second; Breydon Divine scored.+1 R 6-3 7% · Trey Callaway flied out to rf (0-1 F). 6-3 7% ▼ 9th· Texas Southern batting
· Elijah Rodriguez walked (3-2 KBBBSFB). 6-3 11% · Caleb Sanders to p for Zane Baltz. 6-3 11% · Nate Lopez struck out swinging (2-2 BKBKS). 6-3 11% · Zachari Pace walked (3-1 BKBBB); Elijah Rodriguez advanced to second. 6-3 11% · Dalton Alford pinch ran for Elijah Rodriguez. 6-3 11% · Anthony Ruiz singled to right field, RBI (0-0); Zachari Pace advanced to second; Dalton Alford scored.+1 R 6-4 19% · Trey Power to p for Caleb Sanders. 6-4 19% · Christopher Chavez grounded into double play 3b to 1b (0-1 F); Zachari Pace out on the play. 6-4 19% 
