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RPI from the NCAA .
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Illinois at Iowa · Diamondwire
Illinois 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Iowa favored Illinois favored Iowa 0–3 Iowa 0–5 Illinois 3–5 ▲ 1st· Illinois batting
· N GROVES popped up to ss (0-1). · M FARINA struck out looking (1-2). · J ZEBIG singled up the middle (1-1). · A PUTTY popped up to 3b (0-0). ▼ 1st· Iowa batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Saturday, May 2, 2026
Venue at Iowa Illinois 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Iowa favored Illinois favored Iowa 0–3 Iowa 0–5 Illinois 3–5 ▲ 1st· Illinois batting
· N GROVES popped up to ss (0-1). · M FARINA struck out looking (1-2). · J ZEBIG singled up the middle (1-1). · A PUTTY popped up to 3b (0-0). ▼ 1st· Iowa batting
Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Saturday, May 2, 2026
Venue at Iowa Iowa 0 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 · 9 2
▼
6
Iowa
3–6
Illinois 5–6 Schulte struck out swinging (2-2).
· Mitchell flied out to cf (1-0).
· Risley singled to left center (3-2).
· Wulf grounded out to 2b (0-1). 0-0 55% ▲ 2nd· Illinois batting
· K SCHUPMANN grounded out to ss (1-1). 0-0 55% · C JENNINGS lined out to cf (1-1). 0-0 55% · D CONTRERAS popped up to ss (1-1). 0-0 55% ▼ 2nd· Iowa batting
· Burt grounded out to 3b (0-1). 0-0 55% · Strohmeyer out at first 1b to p (1-1). 0-0 55% · Delgado walked (3-2). 0-0 55% · Nerat singled up the middle (1-2); Delgado advanced to second. 0-0 55% · J. Frost homered to left field, 3 RBI (0-0); Nerat scored; Delgado scored.+3 R 0-0 55% · Schulte fouled out to c (2-1). 0-3 60% ▲ 3rd· Illinois batting
· W JOHANNES lined out to lf (0-2). 0-3 65% · J NELSON fouled out to c (2-1). 0-3 65% · N GROVES singled to right field (3-1). 0-3 65% · M FARINA struck out swinging, reached first on a passed ball (2-2); N GROVES advanced to second. 0-3 65% · M FARINA advanced to second on a wild pitch; N GROVES advanced to third on a wild pitch. 0-3 65% · J ZEBIG popped up to ss (2-0). 0-3 65% ▼ 3rd· Iowa batting
· Mitchell singled to right field (2-0). 0-3 65% · Risley struck out swinging (2-2). 0-3 65% · Wulf singled up the middle (1-2); Mitchell advanced to second. 0-3 65% · Burt walked (3-2); Wulf advanced to second; Mitchell advanced to third. 0-3 65% · Strohmeyer popped up to ss (3-1). 0-3 65% · Delgado singled up the middle, 2 RBI (1-0); Burt advanced to second, out at third cf to 3b; Wulf scored; Mitchell scored.+2 R 0-2 63% ▲ 4th· Illinois batting
· A PUTTY singled to left field (1-2). 0-2 66% · K SCHUPMANN struck out swinging (1-2). 0-2 66% · C JENNINGS walked (3-1); A PUTTY advanced to second. 0-2 66% · D CONTRERAS flied out to rf (1-0). 0-2 66% · W JOHANNES flied out to rf (1-1). 0-2 66% ▼ 4th· Iowa batting
· Nerat grounded out to 2b (3-2). 0-2 66% · J. Frost flied out to rf (1-0). 0-2 66% · Schulte struck out looking (1-2). 0-0 53% ▲ 5th· Illinois batting
· J NELSON lined out to lf (1-2). 0-0 53% · N GROVES singled, advanced to second on a fielding error by lf (1-2). 0-0 53% · M FARINA flied out to rf (2-2). 0-0 53% · J ZEBIG fouled out to 3b (2-1). 0-0 53% ▼ 5th· Iowa batting
· Mitchell out at first 1b to p (1-1). 0-0 53% · Risley lined out to cf (1-2). 0-0 53% · Wulf doubled to right center, ground-rule (0-0). 0-0 53% · Burt grounded out to ss (2-1). 0-0 53% ▲ 6th· Illinois batting
· A PUTTY popped up to ss (1-1). 0-0 52% · K SCHUPMANN reached on a fielding error by ss (1-1). 0-0 52% · C JENNINGS flied out to cf (2-1). 0-0 52% · D CONTRERAS walked (3-1); K SCHUPMANN advanced to second. 0-0 52% · W JOHANNES homered to left field, 3 RBI, unearned (0-0); D CONTRERAS scored, unearned; K SCHUPMANN scored, unearned.+3 R 0-0 52% · J NELSON hit by pitch (0-0). 0-0 52% · N GROVES flied out to lf (3-1). 3-0 25% ▼ 6th· Iowa batting
· O MARTEL to p for M DYE. 3-0 28% · Strohmeyer walked (3-0). 3-0 28% · Delgado flied out to cf (2-2). 3-0 28% · Strohmeyer advanced to second on a wild pitch. 3-0 28% · Nerat singled to right field, RBI (2-2); Strohmeyer scored.+1 R 3-0 28% · Nerat advanced to second on a wild pitch. 3-0 28% · J. Frost walked (3-1). 3-0 28% · B MAZZACANO to p for O MARTEL. 3-0 28% · Schulte grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b (0-2); J. Frost out on the play. 3-1 33% ▲ 7th· Illinois batting
· Bleeker to p for Frese. 3-1 25% · M FARINA grounded out to 2b (1-1). 3-1 25% · J ZEBIG struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b (1-2). 3-1 25% · A PUTTY struck out swinging (1-2). 0-1 66% ▼ 7th· Iowa batting
· Mitchell walked (3-2). 0-1 66% · Risley lined out to 3b (0-0). 0-1 66% · Mitchell stole second, advanced to third on a throwing error by c. 0-1 66% · Wulf reached on a fielder's choice to first base (3-2); Mitchell out at home 1b to c. 0-1 66% · Burt walked (3-1); Wulf advanced to second. 0-1 66% · Strohmeyer struck out swinging (1-2). 0-0 51% ▲ 8th· Illinois batting
· K SCHUPMANN singled to third base (2-1). 0-0 51% · C JENNINGS doubled to right field (3-2); K SCHUPMANN advanced to third. 0-0 51% · D CONTRERAS grounded out to ss, RBI (3-2); K SCHUPMANN scored.+1 R 0-0 51% · W JOHANNES grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-0); C JENNINGS advanced to third. 0-0 51% · J NELSON singled to right field, RBI (1-1); C JENNINGS scored.+1 R 0-0 51% · N GROVES singled to right field (0-0); J NELSON advanced to third. 0-0 51% · J NELSON out at home c to 2b to 1b to c, caught stealing. 2-0 20% ▼ 8th· Iowa batting
· R GANNON to p for B MAZZACANO. 2-0 24% · Delgado grounded out to ss (1-2). 2-0 24% · Wood pinch hit for Nerat. 2-0 24% · Wood struck out swinging (0-2). 2-0 24% · J. Frost singled up the middle (1-1). 2-0 24% · Schulte flied out to rf (0-1). 2-0 24% ▲ 9th· Illinois batting
· Ziegler to lf for Wood. 2-0 15% · Husak to p for Bleeker. 2-0 15% · M FARINA lined out to cf (0-1). 2-0 15% · J ZEBIG lined out to lf (0-0). 2-0 15% · A PUTTY grounded out to ss (0-1). 0-0 50% Iowa 0 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 · 9 2
▼
6
Iowa
3–6
Illinois 5–6 Schulte struck out swinging (2-2).
· Mitchell flied out to cf (1-0).
· Risley singled to left center (3-2).
· Wulf grounded out to 2b (0-1). 0-0 55% ▲ 2nd· Illinois batting
· K SCHUPMANN grounded out to ss (1-1). 0-0 55% · C JENNINGS lined out to cf (1-1). 0-0 55% · D CONTRERAS popped up to ss (1-1). 0-0 55% ▼ 2nd· Iowa batting
· Burt grounded out to 3b (0-1). 0-0 55% · Strohmeyer out at first 1b to p (1-1). 0-0 55% · Delgado walked (3-2). 0-0 55% · Nerat singled up the middle (1-2); Delgado advanced to second. 0-0 55% · J. Frost homered to left field, 3 RBI (0-0); Nerat scored; Delgado scored.+3 R 0-0 55% · Schulte fouled out to c (2-1). 0-3 60% ▲ 3rd· Illinois batting
· W JOHANNES lined out to lf (0-2). 0-3 65% · J NELSON fouled out to c (2-1). 0-3 65% · N GROVES singled to right field (3-1). 0-3 65% · M FARINA struck out swinging, reached first on a passed ball (2-2); N GROVES advanced to second. 0-3 65% · M FARINA advanced to second on a wild pitch; N GROVES advanced to third on a wild pitch. 0-3 65% · J ZEBIG popped up to ss (2-0). 0-3 65% ▼ 3rd· Iowa batting
· Mitchell singled to right field (2-0). 0-3 65% · Risley struck out swinging (2-2). 0-3 65% · Wulf singled up the middle (1-2); Mitchell advanced to second. 0-3 65% · Burt walked (3-2); Wulf advanced to second; Mitchell advanced to third. 0-3 65% · Strohmeyer popped up to ss (3-1). 0-3 65% · Delgado singled up the middle, 2 RBI (1-0); Burt advanced to second, out at third cf to 3b; Wulf scored; Mitchell scored.+2 R 0-2 63% ▲ 4th· Illinois batting
· A PUTTY singled to left field (1-2). 0-2 66% · K SCHUPMANN struck out swinging (1-2). 0-2 66% · C JENNINGS walked (3-1); A PUTTY advanced to second. 0-2 66% · D CONTRERAS flied out to rf (1-0). 0-2 66% · W JOHANNES flied out to rf (1-1). 0-2 66% ▼ 4th· Iowa batting
· Nerat grounded out to 2b (3-2). 0-2 66% · J. Frost flied out to rf (1-0). 0-2 66% · Schulte struck out looking (1-2). 0-0 53% ▲ 5th· Illinois batting
· J NELSON lined out to lf (1-2). 0-0 53% · N GROVES singled, advanced to second on a fielding error by lf (1-2). 0-0 53% · M FARINA flied out to rf (2-2). 0-0 53% · J ZEBIG fouled out to 3b (2-1). 0-0 53% ▼ 5th· Iowa batting
· Mitchell out at first 1b to p (1-1). 0-0 53% · Risley lined out to cf (1-2). 0-0 53% · Wulf doubled to right center, ground-rule (0-0). 0-0 53% · Burt grounded out to ss (2-1). 0-0 53% ▲ 6th· Illinois batting
· A PUTTY popped up to ss (1-1). 0-0 52% · K SCHUPMANN reached on a fielding error by ss (1-1). 0-0 52% · C JENNINGS flied out to cf (2-1). 0-0 52% · D CONTRERAS walked (3-1); K SCHUPMANN advanced to second. 0-0 52% · W JOHANNES homered to left field, 3 RBI, unearned (0-0); D CONTRERAS scored, unearned; K SCHUPMANN scored, unearned.+3 R 0-0 52% · J NELSON hit by pitch (0-0). 0-0 52% · N GROVES flied out to lf (3-1). 3-0 25% ▼ 6th· Iowa batting
· O MARTEL to p for M DYE. 3-0 28% · Strohmeyer walked (3-0). 3-0 28% · Delgado flied out to cf (2-2). 3-0 28% · Strohmeyer advanced to second on a wild pitch. 3-0 28% · Nerat singled to right field, RBI (2-2); Strohmeyer scored.+1 R 3-0 28% · Nerat advanced to second on a wild pitch. 3-0 28% · J. Frost walked (3-1). 3-0 28% · B MAZZACANO to p for O MARTEL. 3-0 28% · Schulte grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b (0-2); J. Frost out on the play. 3-1 33% ▲ 7th· Illinois batting
· Bleeker to p for Frese. 3-1 25% · M FARINA grounded out to 2b (1-1). 3-1 25% · J ZEBIG struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b (1-2). 3-1 25% · A PUTTY struck out swinging (1-2). 0-1 66% ▼ 7th· Iowa batting
· Mitchell walked (3-2). 0-1 66% · Risley lined out to 3b (0-0). 0-1 66% · Mitchell stole second, advanced to third on a throwing error by c. 0-1 66% · Wulf reached on a fielder's choice to first base (3-2); Mitchell out at home 1b to c. 0-1 66% · Burt walked (3-1); Wulf advanced to second. 0-1 66% · Strohmeyer struck out swinging (1-2). 0-0 51% ▲ 8th· Illinois batting
· K SCHUPMANN singled to third base (2-1). 0-0 51% · C JENNINGS doubled to right field (3-2); K SCHUPMANN advanced to third. 0-0 51% · D CONTRERAS grounded out to ss, RBI (3-2); K SCHUPMANN scored.+1 R 0-0 51% · W JOHANNES grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-0); C JENNINGS advanced to third. 0-0 51% · J NELSON singled to right field, RBI (1-1); C JENNINGS scored.+1 R 0-0 51% · N GROVES singled to right field (0-0); J NELSON advanced to third. 0-0 51% · J NELSON out at home c to 2b to 1b to c, caught stealing. 2-0 20% ▼ 8th· Iowa batting
· R GANNON to p for B MAZZACANO. 2-0 24% · Delgado grounded out to ss (1-2). 2-0 24% · Wood pinch hit for Nerat. 2-0 24% · Wood struck out swinging (0-2). 2-0 24% · J. Frost singled up the middle (1-1). 2-0 24% · Schulte flied out to rf (0-1). 2-0 24% ▲ 9th· Illinois batting
· Ziegler to lf for Wood. 2-0 15% · Husak to p for Bleeker. 2-0 15% · M FARINA lined out to cf (0-1). 2-0 15% · J ZEBIG lined out to lf (0-0). 2-0 15% · A PUTTY grounded out to ss (0-1). 0-0 50% 
