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USC at Cal Poly · Diamondwire
Sunday, March 1, 2026 · Baggett Stadium · San Luis Obispo, CA
Final
Baggett Stadium · San Luis Obispo, CA FINAL USC 1 1 0 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Cal Poly favored ▲ 1st· USC batting
· Covarrubias walked (3-1 BBKBB). · Covarrubias stole second. · Cadena, I. singled to shortstop (0-2 KFF); Covarrubias advanced to third. · Lopez, Ad. struck out swinging (1-2 BFSS). · Takeuchi, K. reached on a fielder's choice, RBI (2-1 BBK); Cadena, I. out at second 2b unassisted; Covarrubias scored. Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Sunday, March 1, 2026
Venue Baggett Stadium · San Luis Obispo, CA Sunday, March 1, 2026 · Baggett Stadium · San Luis Obispo, CA
Final
Baggett Stadium · San Luis Obispo, CA FINAL USC 1 1 0 0
Home win-probability curve through the game. 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Cal Poly favored ▲ 1st· USC batting
· Covarrubias walked (3-1 BBKBB). · Covarrubias stole second. · Cadena, I. singled to shortstop (0-2 KFF); Covarrubias advanced to third. · Lopez, Ad. struck out swinging (1-2 BFSS). · Takeuchi, K. reached on a fielder's choice, RBI (2-1 BBK); Cadena, I. out at second 2b unassisted; Covarrubias scored. Marginal effect on each team's RPI and our-rank position when this single result is removed from the season and the snapshot is recomputed. Positive = the game lifted them; negative = the game cost them.
Date Sunday, March 1, 2026
Venue Baggett Stadium · San Luis Obispo, CA Cal Poly 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 10 2
USC favored ▼
7
Cal Poly
4–1
USC 6–1 Cal Poly 6–6 USC 8–6 +1 R
· Basseer, J. struck out looking (3-2 BFBBKK). ▼ 1st· Cal Poly batting
· Castellon struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b (1-2 KBKS). · Garza grounded out to 2b (0-1 F). · Tayman struck out looking (2-2 SSBBK). 1-0 28% ▲ 2nd· USC batting
· Martinez, M. lined out to ss (0-0). 1-0 28% · Lopez, Au. doubled to center field (1-1 FB). 1-0 28% · Riske, M. grounded out to ss (0-2 KK); Lopez, Au. advanced to third. 1-0 28% · Tejeda, R. doubled down the lf line, RBI (1-2 KKB); Lopez, Au. scored.+1 R 1-0 28% · Covarrubias struck out swinging (2-2 SBKFBS). 1-0 28% ▼ 2nd· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. struck out swinging (1-2 KKBS). 1-0 29% · Vachini struck out swinging (0-2 FKFFS). 1-0 29% · Thomas flied out to lf (0-0). 1-0 29% ▲ 3rd· USC batting
· Cadena, I. grounded out to ss (0-1 F). 1-0 29% · Lopez, Ad. fouled out to 3b (3-2 KBSBB). 1-0 29% · Takeuchi, K. walked (3-2 SFFBBBB). 1-0 29% · Basseer, J. singled to second base (2-1 BSB); Takeuchi, K. advanced to second. 1-0 29% · Martinez, M. popped up to 2b (0-0). 0-0 34% ▼ 3rd· Cal Poly batting
· McLaurin grounded out to ss (1-0 B). 0-0 34% · Castro struck out swinging (1-2 KBFS). 0-0 34% · Spiridonoff struck out looking (0-2 KSFFK). 0-0 34% ▲ 4th· USC batting
· Lopez, Au. walked (3-2 BKBBFFB). 0-0 36% · Riske, M. grounded out to 3b (0-1 F); Lopez, Au. advanced to second. 0-0 36% · Tejeda, R. grounded out to 2b (1-1 SB); Lopez, Au. advanced to third. 0-0 36% · Covarrubias grounded out to p (3-1 BBBK). 0-0 36% ▼ 4th· Cal Poly batting
· Castellon grounded out to 3b (1-1 FB). 0-0 36% · Garza flied out to lf (0-0). 0-0 36% · Tayman fouled out to rf (3-2 FBSBFBF). 0-0 36% ▲ 5th· USC batting
· Cadena, I. flied out to rf (0-0). 0-0 39% · Lopez, Ad. singled through the right side (1-0 B). 0-0 39% · Takeuchi, K. flied out to lf (1-2 BSKFF). 0-0 39% · Basseer, J. hit by pitch (3-1 BBKB); Lopez, Ad. advanced to second. 0-0 39% · Martinez, M. popped up to ss (1-2 KKB). 0-0 39% ▼ 5th· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. flied out to cf (2-2 KKBB). 0-0 39% · Vachini fouled out to 3b (0-0). 0-0 39% · Thomas singled up the middle (1-1 BK). 0-0 39% · McLaurin singled through the left side (0-0); Thomas advanced to second. 0-0 39% · Castro struck out swinging (2-2 SBBKS). 0-0 39% ▲ 6th· USC batting
· Downs to p for Turnquist. 0-0 42% · Downing to 2b for Castro. 0-0 42% · Lopez, Au. out at first 1b to p (0-2 KS). 0-0 42% · Riske, M. grounded out to p, bunt (0-0). 0-0 42% · Tejeda, R. struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b (1-2 KBFFS). 0-0 42% ▼ 6th· Cal Poly batting
· Spiridonoff flied out to rf (2-2 FBFB). 0-0 42% · Castellon singled to right field (1-0 B). 0-0 42% · Garza out at first 1b to p (0-0); Castellon advanced to second. 0-0 42% · Tayman popped up to 1b (1-0 B). 0-0 42% ▲ 7th· USC batting
· Covarrubias singled to right field (1-0 B). 0-0 45% · Covarrubias stole second. 0-0 45% · Cadena, I. out at first 1b to p (3-2 KBBBK); Covarrubias advanced to third. 0-0 45% · Lopez, Ad. singled to center field, RBI (1-1 BK); Covarrubias scored.+1 R 0-0 45% · Lopez, Ad. stole second. 0-0 45% · Lopez, Ad. advanced to third on an error by p, failed pickoff attempt. 0-0 45% · Takeuchi, K. walked (3-2 BBFFBB). 0-0 45% · Takeuchi, K. stole second, advanced to third on a throwing error by 1b; Lopez, Ad. stole home, unearned.+1 R 0-0 45% · Basseer, J. reached on a fielder's choice (3-1 BBSB); Takeuchi, K. out at home ss to c. 0-0 45% · Martinez, M. struck out looking (0-2 KKK). 2-0 19% ▼ 7th· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. homered to left center, RBI (2-2 KKBB).+1 R 2-0 22% · Vachini flied out to cf (0-2 FK). 2-0 22% · Thomas walked (3-1 BBFBB). 2-0 22% · McLaurin popped up to 2b (3-2 KBBKB). 2-0 22% · Matson, S. to p for Johnson, A.. 2-0 22% · Downing struck out swinging (2-2 BKBFS). 2-1 33% ▲ 8th· USC batting
· Stickney, W. pinch hit for Lopez, Au.. 2-1 30% · Stickney, W. walked (3-0 BBBB). 2-1 30% · Riske, M. flied out to cf (1-2 FKB). 2-1 30% · Tejeda, R. singled to second base (0-0); Stickney, W. advanced to second. 2-1 30% · Covarrubias reached on a fielder's choice (0-1 S); Tejeda, R. out at second 1b to ss; Stickney, W. advanced to third. 2-1 30% · Cadena, I. walked (3-0 BBBB); Covarrubias advanced to second. 2-1 30% · McGrath to p for Downs. 2-1 30% · Lopez, Ad. reached on a fielder's choice (0-1 K); Cadena, I. out at second ss to 2b. 0-1 65% ▼ 8th· Cal Poly batting
· Urbon, W. to rf for Basseer, J.. 0-1 65% · Troy, A. to p for Matson, S.. 0-1 65% · Van der Wel pinch hit for Spiridonoff. 0-1 65% · Van der Wel fouled out to 3b (1-0 B). 0-1 65% · Castellon singled to right field (0-1 K). 0-1 65% · Garza struck out looking (1-2 BKKK). 0-1 65% · Tayman popped up to 2b (1-1 BF). 0-0 47% ▲ 9th· USC batting
· Takeuchi, K. singled to center field (0-0). 0-0 50% · Urbon, W. out at first p to 2b, SAC, bunt (1-1 BF); Takeuchi, K. advanced to second. 0-0 50% · Martinez, M. singled through the left side (0-1 F); Takeuchi, K. advanced to third. 0-0 50% · Stickney, W. to dh. 0-0 50% · Stickney, W. out at first 1b to 2b, SAC, bunt, RBI (0-0); Martinez, M. advanced to second; Takeuchi, K. scored.+1 R 0-0 50% · Riske, M. singled to left field, advanced to second on the throw, RBI (2-1 BBK); Martinez, M. scored.+1 R 0-0 50% · Tejeda, R. struck out looking (1-2 BKKK). 2-0 15% ▼ 9th· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. out at first 1b to p (0-2 KK). 2-0 19% · Vachini doubled to right field (2-2 KBSB). 2-0 19% · Thomas doubled to right center, RBI (3-2 BBKFB); Vachini scored.+1 R 2-0 19% · McLaurin homered to left center, 2 RBI (1-1 KB); Thomas scored.+2 R 2-0 19% · Downing struck out swinging (3-2 BBKFBFS). 2-0 19% · Hoiland pinch hit for Van der Wel. 2-0 19% · Hoiland reached on an error by ss (1-2 KBF). 2-0 19% · Meli pinch ran for Hoiland. 2-0 19% · Castellon doubled to center field, RBI (2-1 BKB); Meli scored, unearned.+1 R 2-0 19% · Garza singled through the right side, RBI (0-2 KF); Castellon scored, unearned.+1 R 2-0 19% · Lauridsen, G to p for Troy, A.. 2-0 19% · Tayman struck out looking (0-2 SFK). 2-5 93% ▲ 10th· USC batting
· Covarrubias struck out looking (3-2 KBBBKK). 2-5 93% · Cadena, I. popped up to ss (1-1 BK). 2-5 93% · Lopez, Ad. flied out to rf (0-0). 0-5 99% ▼ 10th· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. grounded out to p (2-2 FBBS). 0-5 99% · Vachini flied out to rf (0-1 S). 0-5 99% · Thomas grounded out to ss (1-0 B). 0-0 50% ▲ 11th· USC batting
· Takeuchi, K. singled through the right side (1-1 KB). 0-0 50% · Urbon, W. singled to right field (0-2 KK); Takeuchi, K. advanced to second. 0-0 50% · Martinez, M. singled to left field (0-1 K); Urbon, W. advanced to second; Takeuchi, K. advanced to third. 0-0 50% · Kalfsbeek to p for McGrath. 0-0 50% · Martinez, M. advanced to second; Urbon, W. advanced to third; Takeuchi, K. scored on a wild pitch.+1 R 0-0 50% · Stickney, W. fouled into double play rf to c (0-0); Martinez, M. advanced to third; Urbon, W. out on the play. 0-0 50% · Riske, M. doubled to left center, RBI (0-0); Martinez, M. scored.+1 R 0-0 50% · Tejeda, R. grounded out to 3b (0-2 SF). 2-0 15% ▼ 11th· Cal Poly batting
· McLaurin grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-2 KS). 2-0 19% · Downing walked (3-0 BBBB). 2-0 19% · Kordic pinch hit for Meli. 2-0 19% · Kordic grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b (2-2 KBBS); Downing out on the play. 2-0 19% Cal Poly 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 10 2
USC favored ▼
7
Cal Poly
4–1
USC 6–1 Cal Poly 6–6 USC 8–6 +1 R
· Basseer, J. struck out looking (3-2 BFBBKK). ▼ 1st· Cal Poly batting
· Castellon struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b (1-2 KBKS). · Garza grounded out to 2b (0-1 F). · Tayman struck out looking (2-2 SSBBK). 1-0 28% ▲ 2nd· USC batting
· Martinez, M. lined out to ss (0-0). 1-0 28% · Lopez, Au. doubled to center field (1-1 FB). 1-0 28% · Riske, M. grounded out to ss (0-2 KK); Lopez, Au. advanced to third. 1-0 28% · Tejeda, R. doubled down the lf line, RBI (1-2 KKB); Lopez, Au. scored.+1 R 1-0 28% · Covarrubias struck out swinging (2-2 SBKFBS). 1-0 28% ▼ 2nd· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. struck out swinging (1-2 KKBS). 1-0 29% · Vachini struck out swinging (0-2 FKFFS). 1-0 29% · Thomas flied out to lf (0-0). 1-0 29% ▲ 3rd· USC batting
· Cadena, I. grounded out to ss (0-1 F). 1-0 29% · Lopez, Ad. fouled out to 3b (3-2 KBSBB). 1-0 29% · Takeuchi, K. walked (3-2 SFFBBBB). 1-0 29% · Basseer, J. singled to second base (2-1 BSB); Takeuchi, K. advanced to second. 1-0 29% · Martinez, M. popped up to 2b (0-0). 0-0 34% ▼ 3rd· Cal Poly batting
· McLaurin grounded out to ss (1-0 B). 0-0 34% · Castro struck out swinging (1-2 KBFS). 0-0 34% · Spiridonoff struck out looking (0-2 KSFFK). 0-0 34% ▲ 4th· USC batting
· Lopez, Au. walked (3-2 BKBBFFB). 0-0 36% · Riske, M. grounded out to 3b (0-1 F); Lopez, Au. advanced to second. 0-0 36% · Tejeda, R. grounded out to 2b (1-1 SB); Lopez, Au. advanced to third. 0-0 36% · Covarrubias grounded out to p (3-1 BBBK). 0-0 36% ▼ 4th· Cal Poly batting
· Castellon grounded out to 3b (1-1 FB). 0-0 36% · Garza flied out to lf (0-0). 0-0 36% · Tayman fouled out to rf (3-2 FBSBFBF). 0-0 36% ▲ 5th· USC batting
· Cadena, I. flied out to rf (0-0). 0-0 39% · Lopez, Ad. singled through the right side (1-0 B). 0-0 39% · Takeuchi, K. flied out to lf (1-2 BSKFF). 0-0 39% · Basseer, J. hit by pitch (3-1 BBKB); Lopez, Ad. advanced to second. 0-0 39% · Martinez, M. popped up to ss (1-2 KKB). 0-0 39% ▼ 5th· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. flied out to cf (2-2 KKBB). 0-0 39% · Vachini fouled out to 3b (0-0). 0-0 39% · Thomas singled up the middle (1-1 BK). 0-0 39% · McLaurin singled through the left side (0-0); Thomas advanced to second. 0-0 39% · Castro struck out swinging (2-2 SBBKS). 0-0 39% ▲ 6th· USC batting
· Downs to p for Turnquist. 0-0 42% · Downing to 2b for Castro. 0-0 42% · Lopez, Au. out at first 1b to p (0-2 KS). 0-0 42% · Riske, M. grounded out to p, bunt (0-0). 0-0 42% · Tejeda, R. struck out swinging, out at first c to 1b (1-2 KBFFS). 0-0 42% ▼ 6th· Cal Poly batting
· Spiridonoff flied out to rf (2-2 FBFB). 0-0 42% · Castellon singled to right field (1-0 B). 0-0 42% · Garza out at first 1b to p (0-0); Castellon advanced to second. 0-0 42% · Tayman popped up to 1b (1-0 B). 0-0 42% ▲ 7th· USC batting
· Covarrubias singled to right field (1-0 B). 0-0 45% · Covarrubias stole second. 0-0 45% · Cadena, I. out at first 1b to p (3-2 KBBBK); Covarrubias advanced to third. 0-0 45% · Lopez, Ad. singled to center field, RBI (1-1 BK); Covarrubias scored.+1 R 0-0 45% · Lopez, Ad. stole second. 0-0 45% · Lopez, Ad. advanced to third on an error by p, failed pickoff attempt. 0-0 45% · Takeuchi, K. walked (3-2 BBFFBB). 0-0 45% · Takeuchi, K. stole second, advanced to third on a throwing error by 1b; Lopez, Ad. stole home, unearned.+1 R 0-0 45% · Basseer, J. reached on a fielder's choice (3-1 BBSB); Takeuchi, K. out at home ss to c. 0-0 45% · Martinez, M. struck out looking (0-2 KKK). 2-0 19% ▼ 7th· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. homered to left center, RBI (2-2 KKBB).+1 R 2-0 22% · Vachini flied out to cf (0-2 FK). 2-0 22% · Thomas walked (3-1 BBFBB). 2-0 22% · McLaurin popped up to 2b (3-2 KBBKB). 2-0 22% · Matson, S. to p for Johnson, A.. 2-0 22% · Downing struck out swinging (2-2 BKBFS). 2-1 33% ▲ 8th· USC batting
· Stickney, W. pinch hit for Lopez, Au.. 2-1 30% · Stickney, W. walked (3-0 BBBB). 2-1 30% · Riske, M. flied out to cf (1-2 FKB). 2-1 30% · Tejeda, R. singled to second base (0-0); Stickney, W. advanced to second. 2-1 30% · Covarrubias reached on a fielder's choice (0-1 S); Tejeda, R. out at second 1b to ss; Stickney, W. advanced to third. 2-1 30% · Cadena, I. walked (3-0 BBBB); Covarrubias advanced to second. 2-1 30% · McGrath to p for Downs. 2-1 30% · Lopez, Ad. reached on a fielder's choice (0-1 K); Cadena, I. out at second ss to 2b. 0-1 65% ▼ 8th· Cal Poly batting
· Urbon, W. to rf for Basseer, J.. 0-1 65% · Troy, A. to p for Matson, S.. 0-1 65% · Van der Wel pinch hit for Spiridonoff. 0-1 65% · Van der Wel fouled out to 3b (1-0 B). 0-1 65% · Castellon singled to right field (0-1 K). 0-1 65% · Garza struck out looking (1-2 BKKK). 0-1 65% · Tayman popped up to 2b (1-1 BF). 0-0 47% ▲ 9th· USC batting
· Takeuchi, K. singled to center field (0-0). 0-0 50% · Urbon, W. out at first p to 2b, SAC, bunt (1-1 BF); Takeuchi, K. advanced to second. 0-0 50% · Martinez, M. singled through the left side (0-1 F); Takeuchi, K. advanced to third. 0-0 50% · Stickney, W. to dh. 0-0 50% · Stickney, W. out at first 1b to 2b, SAC, bunt, RBI (0-0); Martinez, M. advanced to second; Takeuchi, K. scored.+1 R 0-0 50% · Riske, M. singled to left field, advanced to second on the throw, RBI (2-1 BBK); Martinez, M. scored.+1 R 0-0 50% · Tejeda, R. struck out looking (1-2 BKKK). 2-0 15% ▼ 9th· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. out at first 1b to p (0-2 KK). 2-0 19% · Vachini doubled to right field (2-2 KBSB). 2-0 19% · Thomas doubled to right center, RBI (3-2 BBKFB); Vachini scored.+1 R 2-0 19% · McLaurin homered to left center, 2 RBI (1-1 KB); Thomas scored.+2 R 2-0 19% · Downing struck out swinging (3-2 BBKFBFS). 2-0 19% · Hoiland pinch hit for Van der Wel. 2-0 19% · Hoiland reached on an error by ss (1-2 KBF). 2-0 19% · Meli pinch ran for Hoiland. 2-0 19% · Castellon doubled to center field, RBI (2-1 BKB); Meli scored, unearned.+1 R 2-0 19% · Garza singled through the right side, RBI (0-2 KF); Castellon scored, unearned.+1 R 2-0 19% · Lauridsen, G to p for Troy, A.. 2-0 19% · Tayman struck out looking (0-2 SFK). 2-5 93% ▲ 10th· USC batting
· Covarrubias struck out looking (3-2 KBBBKK). 2-5 93% · Cadena, I. popped up to ss (1-1 BK). 2-5 93% · Lopez, Ad. flied out to rf (0-0). 0-5 99% ▼ 10th· Cal Poly batting
· Murray Jr. grounded out to p (2-2 FBBS). 0-5 99% · Vachini flied out to rf (0-1 S). 0-5 99% · Thomas grounded out to ss (1-0 B). 0-0 50% ▲ 11th· USC batting
· Takeuchi, K. singled through the right side (1-1 KB). 0-0 50% · Urbon, W. singled to right field (0-2 KK); Takeuchi, K. advanced to second. 0-0 50% · Martinez, M. singled to left field (0-1 K); Urbon, W. advanced to second; Takeuchi, K. advanced to third. 0-0 50% · Kalfsbeek to p for McGrath. 0-0 50% · Martinez, M. advanced to second; Urbon, W. advanced to third; Takeuchi, K. scored on a wild pitch.+1 R 0-0 50% · Stickney, W. fouled into double play rf to c (0-0); Martinez, M. advanced to third; Urbon, W. out on the play. 0-0 50% · Riske, M. doubled to left center, RBI (0-0); Martinez, M. scored.+1 R 0-0 50% · Tejeda, R. grounded out to 3b (0-2 SF). 2-0 15% ▼ 11th· Cal Poly batting
· McLaurin grounded out to 1b unassisted (0-2 KS). 2-0 19% · Downing walked (3-0 BBBB). 2-0 19% · Kordic pinch hit for Meli. 2-0 19% · Kordic grounded into double play ss to 2b to 1b (2-2 KBBS); Downing out on the play. 2-0 19% 
